Grab a raincoat and maybe leave the umbrella at home.
A looming storm could bring rain, strong winds and perhaps even hail in New York and the suburbs on Monday.
The National Weather Service predicts a thunderstorm that could bring potentially harmful winds to the area, as the cold front moves into the evening on Monday afternoon, with the worst expected in the middle and lower Hudson Valley, meteorologists said.
There’s even a chance – albeit a small one, 2 to 5 percent – of an isolated tornado, according to meteorologist John Murray of the NWS office in New York.
“With wind cuts and instability, there is an environment where you can have an isolated tornado,” Murray said Sunday afternoon. “But the main threat should be harmful winds.”
What are the chances of a severe storm? When the NWS Storm Forecast Center predicts a storm, it warns if an area has an “increased”, “marginal” or “mild” risk of severe weather.
For Monday’s storm, parts of the Hudson Valley were in the “improved” category as of Sunday afternoon. New York and the western part of Long Island are in the “marginal” category, while the eastern part of Long Island is in “slight” risk.
If the storm hits hard, NWS predicts the possibility of hail up to an inch in diameter, Murray said. The potential for severe weather is usually expected between 2pm and 10pm, he said.
“Most of the activity is expected to be within this time frame,” he said. “Threats from severe weather include destructive winds with wind gusts of at least 58 miles per hour, with possible hail.
The weather should be clear by Tuesday, NWS reported, with a sunny and cool day and a maximum temperature of 77 degrees and a minimum temperature of 55 degrees.
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