Sixty-six percent said Rowe v. Wade should not be completely repealed, and 59 percent would support Congress to pass legislation to establish a nationwide right to abortion, including 81 percent of Democrats, 65 percent of independents and 30 percent of Republicans. , according to the study findings.
The share of registered voters who say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting this fall has risen by 6 points between the first and second polls, but this increase is roughly even party-wide. Among Democrats, 43% now say they are extremely or very enthusiastic, up 7 points. For Republicans, this is 56%, an increase of 9 points. And voters who say repealing Roe would make them “happy” are almost twice as enthusiastic about the vote this fall as those who say a decision would leave them “angry” (38% extremely enthusiastic). the happy ones, 20% among those angry).
The share of Americans who would be angry after such a decision (36%) sharply exceeds that of those who would be happy (17%), and some poll findings suggest that the issue may become a motivating factor for Roe supporters if the draft opinion becomes final. Younger adults are especially inclined to say that they would be angry if Roe was reversed (47% among those under 45, compared to 26% among older people). But younger voters remain far less enthusiastic about voting this fall – only 9% of them are extremely enthusiastic about voting this fall, compared to 31% of older voters. More generally, 37% of Americans strongly support Congress in establishing a nationwide right to abortion, more than 28% who strongly oppose such action. Half (51%) say that if Rowe falls, they want their state to become a safe haven for women seeking abortion, compared to 20% who say the procedure should be completely banned in their state. And the proportion of Americans who say their views on abortion are more in line with Democrats than Republicans rose 7 points between the two polls (44% with Democrats, 32% with Republicans in a later poll against 37% of Democrats, 31 % Republicans in the earlier one).
Abortion is not the only factor for most voters
Republicans have a narrow advantage over Democrats in the overall vote test, 49% to 42% of registered voters, a slight improvement for Republicans over the poll just before the decision. As for the economy – the issue is likely to be a driving force for voters this fall – nearly half of adults (46%) in the latest poll say Republican positions are more in line with their own, compared to 31% for the Democratic Party. About three-quarters say which party controls Congress makes a real difference – a figure that does not change between the two polls – with more Republicans saying so than Democrats (88% vs. 78%). These findings show the overall picture of the by-elections has changed little since this week’s news, at least in the short term. Only about half of the country says they have heard much or a lot about the draft Supreme Court opinion so far (49%), with 51% saying they have heard little or nothing about it.
The poll, which became public after the draft decision, also found a slight increase in the proportion of Americans in January who said they would only vote for a candidate who shared their views on abortion; this view has increased more among Republicans (from 15% in January to 26% now) than among Democrats (24% in January to 29% now). Under this measure, however, the ideological divide tells a different story, with liberals’ commitment to a candidate who shares their views on abortion increasing by 12 points; among conservatives it increases by 6 points.
If Rowe falls, most now say they would like their own state to set abortion laws that are more permissive to abortion (58%) than restrictive (42%). These percentages are similar to the results of a CNN survey conducted in January, although about half (52%) believe abortions will be at least a little harder to get to where they live if Rowe is repealed. However, the new study has a higher share than in January, however, who say that if Roe is removed, they do not think abortions will be more difficult to reach where they live (25% now versus 14% in January). ). This change is driven mainly by men: 35% say so now against 19% in January. Among women, 16% say so now, compared to 10% in January.
Additional privacy threats
Given the impact that a decision such as the draft opinion may have on other privacy-based laws, Americans are more inclined to view the couple’s right to marry, regardless of their gender, as endangered (38% consider it endangered, 35% as sure) than they should say the same about a woman’s right to use contraception (23% endangered, 63% sure) or the right of a couple to marry, regardless of race or ethnicity (19% endangered, 66% secure). Democrats see a greater threat overall, including 57 percent, who say same-sex marriage is at risk against 21 percent of Republicans. Overall, nearly two-thirds (63%) say the Supreme Court should take public opinion into account when making its decisions. There are particularly sharp age divisions on abortion, and strong support for abortion rights among younger adults suggests that Democrats could use it to bolster their position in this group, whose support for President Joe Biden has waned. Among those under 45, 75% oppose the abolition of Roe and 68% support Congress to establish a nationwide right to abortion, compared to 58% against the abolition of Roe and 51% support Congress’ actions to codify abortion rights. among those over 45 years of age. And 30% of younger people say they would only vote for a candidate who shares their views on the issue, compared to 23% of older people.
In the previous poll, perceptions of aligning each party with the mainstream were roughly the same. Approximately half of the public, 52%, say they see the views and policies of the Democratic Party as a whole, not too extreme, with 54% saying the same about the Republican Party. In general, guerrillas feel comfortable with their own party: 90% of Republicans see the Republican Party as the main party, and an identical 90% of Democrats see their party as the main party. Only 13% of Americans consider both countries to be too extreme.
While Republicans are better aligned with Americans ‘views on economics and Democrats’ views on abortion, the two studies show that several other issues are more closely separated. Americans are divided over which party shares more of their views on the right to vote and fair elections (41% say Democrats, 38% Republicans), support for the middle class (35% Democrats, 32% Republicans), education (35% Democrats) , 34% Republicans) and the role of the United States in world affairs (35% say Republicans, 30% Democrats). The Republican Party has a significant lead in immigration (42% to 34%) and crime and police (43% to 28%), while Democrats have a lead in terms of women’s rights (45% to 29%). Apart from abortions, Americans’ party preferences have changed little on the issues tested in both studies.
Both CNN surveys were conducted by SSRS online and by telephone, and both samples were taken from a probability-based panel. One study was conducted from April 28 to May 1 among a random sample of 1,007 adults. The results for the full sample of this study have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points. The second was held from May 3rd to 5th among a random national sample of 800 adults. There is a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 points.
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