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The long risks of Covid can be seen through machine learning

A new study, supported by the National Institutes of Health, found that machine learning models were able to spot patterns in patient data that showed a higher risk of developing long-term covid. Other reports highlight the sometimes overlooked symptoms of long covid and its effects.

CIDRAP: Machine Learning Models Can Detect Patients at Risk for Prolonged COVID-19 Machine Learning Models developed by a research team supported by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) can accurately identify patients who are likely to have long-term COVID, according to a study yesterday in The Lancet Digital Health. … The three machine learning models are designed to detect symptom patterns, health care usage, demographics, and prescriptions to identify all patients with COVID-19 who are likely to have long-term symptoms, including inpatients and outpatients. (5/17)

The Lancet Digital Health: Identifying Who Has Long COVID in the US: A Machine Learning Approach Using N3C Data Using the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) Electronic Health Repository, we developed XGBoost machine learning models to identify potential patients with prolonged COVID. (Pfaff et al, 5/16)

Boston.com: Harvard economist on “The cost of long COVID”: “We need to worry about this” Harvard. In particular, the long COVID has the potential to have widespread and lasting effects on the economy, said David Cutler, a Harvard economics professor who focuses on health economics. (Hill, 5/17)

The Wall Street Journal: Covid’s long symptoms often include crushing fatigue. Here’s how to handle Ken Todd, 53 in New York, ran 18 marathons before receiving Covid last year. Now going out to brunch with friends is exhausting him. “I have to plan on going to bed when I get home by the end of the day,” Mr Todd said. He is among the many long-term patients with Covid who suffer from fatigue months after the initial infection. Doctors say that many, like Mr. Todd, experience not only fatigue but also a syndrome called malaise after exercise. Some long-term patients with Covid are trying to overcome fatigue, a solution that often backfires and worsens fatigue and other symptoms. (Reddy, 5/16)

KHN: “It’s just part of aging”: Covid’s long symptoms are often overlooked in adults Nearly 18 months after receiving covid-19 and spending weeks in hospital, Terry Bell struggles with hanging up his shirts and pants after washing. Lifting his clothes, raising his arms, arranging things in his closet leaves Bell panting and often causes severe fatigue. Walk with a cane, only short distances. It is 50 pounds lighter than when the virus struck. Bell, 70, is among millions of older people who have struggled for a long time with covid, a population that has received little attention, although research shows that older people are more likely to develop a misunderstood condition than young adults. middle-aged. (Gram, 5/18)

Hill: Five Things You Need to Know About Long-Term COVID Patients who have developed severe cases of COVID-19 or need to be hospitalized are generally thought to be more likely to have long-term symptoms after recovering from their original infection. However, studies have shown that a significant percentage of asymptomatic cases of COVID-19 lead to prolonged COVID. (Choi, 5/17)

In other studies of covid –

CIDRAP: Estrogen treatment associated with reduced mortality from COVID-19 Women who have received prescriptions for hormone replacement therapy (HRT) with estrogen within 6 months of being diagnosed with COVID-19 have reduced mortality, according to a new study in Family Practice . The findings, combined with data on gender differences in the severity of COVID-19 in men and women, suggest that estrogen may play a protective role against the virus. (Dryers, 5/17)

KHN: How Better Ventilation Can Help Protect Your Home From Covid In two years, you’ve been out of bounds. You disguised yourself, kept your distance, took pictures. Now, despite these efforts, you, your child, or someone else in your home is suffering from covid-19. And the last thing you want is for the virus to spread to everyone in the family or household. But how do you prevent it from circulating when you live in cramped neighborhoods? (Sabo, 5/18)

Call: COVID-19 Wastewater Efforts Faces Long-Term Issues In February 2020, environmental engineers Aaron Bivins and Kyle Bibi launched an informal collaboration with several fellow researchers, hoping to share advice and strategies for monitoring wastewater for signs of thriving COVID-19. 19 pandemic. By April 2022, the group had grown to more than 1,300 analysts and professionals worldwide, with a Slack account promoting new research and introductions – all part of an effort to facilitate early information sharing that did not exist in the federal level. (Clason, 5/16)

CIDRAP: Trained Aromatic Dogs Detect COVID-19 Airline Passengers At Helsinki-Vantaa International Airport, dogs sniffed skin swabs from 303 arriving passengers, also tested for COVID-19 by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) from September 2020 to April 2021. Regarding PCR, dogs have an estimated SARS-CoV-2 detection accuracy of 92%, a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 91%. They were much less accurate in detecting infections caused by the Alpha variant (89% for wild-type virus versus 36% for Alpha). But the latest finding also illustrates how well dogs can distinguish different scents, the team said. observation is remarkable because it proves the strong discriminatory power of aromatic dogs, “they write. (Van Beusekom, 5/17)

When testing for covid –

ProPublica: COVID testing company, which missed 96% of cases “These parents were quite adamant that their child was not accidental and could play,” said Heather Kervin, manager of the epidemiological program for the Washaw County Health District. A model appeared. Athletes would test positive on the quick test. But before the follow-up contact could call, parents would learn from the testing company that their children’s PCR tests, usually the gold standard for testing for COVID-19, were negative, even for students with symptoms. Kervin researched and learned that the campus of the University of Nevada in Reno sees such contradictory results. The university and the school district had something in common. They had both recently hired the same company to conduct their tests: Northshore Clinical Labs. (Damon, 5/17)

New Hampshire Newsletter: Remember the 1 million COVID tests sent to NH liquor stores? Most of them are still unsold. The 1 million tests for COVID-19 that the New Hampshire Department of Health and Human Services ordered in January for sale in public liquor stores did not fly off the shelves, leaving about 926,000 tests still available. The department has asked the Joint Legislative Fiscal Committee for permission to send many of the redundant tests to health centers, schools, camps and childcare programs. In his request, Health and Human Services Commissioner Lori Shibinet said sales of the $ 11.29 tests had slowed in liquor stores as tests became more available elsewhere. That was not the case in January, when the department purchased the tests using $ 12 million in federal money to alleviate the pandemic. (Timins, 5/17)

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