Stephen Del Duka’s note and the Liberals’ electoral ceiling have expired. Andrea Horvat’s last kick in the box? And most importantly: Is the barrel considered a gourmet food in Canada?
Alex Butilie: Welcome to Global News’ Ontario Votes Roundup: Final Countdown Edition. Less than a week remains before Ontario residents get their last chance to vote in this sleepy election in the early summer, and public opinion polls – and, if “leaked” internal notes are believed, the parties themselves suggest that there remain two narrow -horse races for second place.
I say this because the military hall of the Ontario Liberals seems to have leaked an internal vote to the Toronto Star, suggesting they are in a strong position to formally oppose a likely majority government led by Ontario PC leader Doug Ford.
If this note is to be believed – and we have no evidence that it should not be – both the Liberals and the New Democrats in Ontario have admitted more or less publicly that they have little or no hope of forming a majority government on their own. .
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But to keep us from getting stuck, it looks like the Ontario NDP military room has expired its own internal Toronto Star voting note, suggesting a late increase in the campaign! At some point you have to wonder why countries bother to write “CONFIDENTIAL” about these things „
This may seem rather inconspicuous, given that public opinion polls are more or less predictions for Ford years before the campaign began. But I can’t recall a recent example of a party admitting that outside of a minority / coalition horse trade, they are unlikely to win the election after so much time.
But maybe I’m just old-fashioned. Colin, are you confused too? Or better yet, can you guide us through what the party strategies offer you?
Colin D’Mello: Honestly, I struggled to make sense of Ontario’s liberal strategy in the last part of the campaign. Stephen Del Duca has publicly spoken out about “stopping Doug Ford”, which seems to be a tacit acknowledgment that slowing the PC leader’s momentum is now the main goal.
Internally, senior liberal strategists tell me that supporters and party supporters will be “very pleased” with the result of election night, but are very shy about the reasons for optimism. What is the starting point for this happy outcome? Are the 2018 elections in which liberals were sent to sleep without dinner? Or is this the 2014 election in which the Liberals opposed expectations and formed a majority?
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Anyway, liberals say there are some positive signs in the home section. The party tells me that low voter turnout during the pre-election (which ends on May 29) may be good for their cause, because it means that voters are not as determined as polls would make us believe. The party believes it can take support from both personal computers and the NDP before e-day, enough to do something. What this thing is – and whether it will be enough – is not clear.
But as it stands now, Del Duca’s best chance of claiming victory seems to have dethroned Andrea Horvat from her position as leader of the official opposition – barely.
Alex Butille: It’s all very interesting, but I think this week we are avoiding the question in the minds of all Canadians and I want a definitive answer. Is The Keg considered a gourmet food in this country?
Colin D’Melo: [screams internally]
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I will say this until I die. The Keg is a gorgeous, sophisticated, high-end steakhouse and it all depends on your situation in life.
When I wrote this story, I approached it from the point of view of the ordinary Ontarian. Those who do not receive a six-figure salary live a modest life and worry about the cost of food and gasoline.
For this man, The Keg is high class.
For those who live in the small town of Ontario, with limited food availability, The Keg is high-end.
For my mother, who refuses to go to Hooters because it offends her religious feelings, The Keg is high class.
Not me @.
Alex Butillet: Look, the Swiss Chalet was a special pleasure when I was growing up, so I won’t tell you about it. Hooters also insults me, but not for any religious reason. The wings have been shown solely to give a sense of proportion.
But let’s get back to business: even if Ford calmly moves on to another majority term, there are some compelling issues that keep us busy in the last week of the campaign.
If the recent federal experience is a guide, it is not necessarily clear that opposition leaders receive more than one kick in the ballot box. Stefan Dion, Michael Ignatiev, Andrew Sheare, Erin O’Toole – no one was given more than one opportunity to form a government of the respective parties.
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I suppose that if Stephen Del Duca significantly raises his party’s position in the legislature – and it would be difficult not to – he will at least be able to make an argument, he must remain at the helm.
But what about Andrea Horvat, who now seems to be watching her fourth consecutive election loss? Although still in the air between the Liberals and the NDP, there is potential that it could move from the official opposition back to third place. Can her leadership survive this?
Perhaps more pressing for Ontario residents is what Ford’s second majority for the province looks like.
Colin D’Melo: For Andrea Horvath, this is a premiere or a bust.
Horvat enjoyed great support in her own party, but even as the election began, it became clear that her party’s conduct was declining.
Horvat and the NDP are now fighting a long battle with longtime NDP lawmaker Paul Miller over his Facebook posts and Miller’s expulsion from the party. The NDP’s black assembly began criticizing the party’s decision to hold a nomination meeting in Brampton North, which led to the loss of Kevin Yard’s privilege to run under the orange flag. And recently there have been some reports of growing discontent in Croatia and renewal talks.
The anticipation of Croatia on election night – and I warn that there are still a few days until the campaign – is a full list of thanks, followed by his resignation.
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As for Ford, much of his success in the second term will depend on who will continue to advise him in the future.
Shortly after Ford’s cabinet decided to close playgrounds and give police new powers during the third wave of COVID-19, two key strategists, lobbyist Corey Teneike and sociologist Nick Kuvalis, took over the government’s reins before moving on. his campaign team. .
The two are largely credited with repairing the ship and shaping the history of Ford’s redemption.
But what happens when they return to their respective practices and when pandemic-weary staff decide to take other positions outside the government? How is Ford replacing key stabilizing forces in its cabinet such as Rod Phillips and Christine Elliott? And who’s stopping Ford from going back to old habits?
This will determine what the potential second term will look like.
Alex Butilier: And with that, dear readers, we end our last pre-election review of votes in Ontario. Watch this space next week as Colin and I dig into the insides of Thursday’s election – surprises, many other surprises, and what it all means for the rest of us. Until then: see you at The Keg.
Global coverage of the Ontario elections in 2022, fourth week:
See the Global News Promise Tracking Tool, following every promise and policy announced during the campaign.
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Doug Ford and personal computers stand firm in the race for the Ontario election: Ipsos poll With less than two weeks until election day, progressive Conservative leader Doug Ford continues to hold a commanding lead over his rivals. (Isaac Callan)
45% of voters believe that Doug Ford, the computers will win the election in Ontario: an Ipsos poll. Nearly half of Ontario voters believe Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives will win the province’s election next week, a new poll found. (Hannah Jackson)
Legitimate Political Expenses: Del Duca Defends Riding Association Evenings Ontario Liberal leader Stephen Del Duca defends his use of the Riding Association’s funds to pay thousands of dollars for expensive evenings while he was cabinet minister, claiming that they were used for “legitimate political expenses.” (Colin D’Melo)
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The Green Party of Ontario focuses on Doug Ford’s pandemic response in a bid to change places the party’s seats in the provincial legislature. (Colin D’Melo)
The Ontario Liberal candidate is retiring, Party Three is left without a full list. Liberal leader Stephen Del Duca says Audrey Festeriga has withdrawn her candidacy in Chatham-Kent-Leamington and will no longer be on the Liberal ballot. Development means that there are now three races in which the Liberals are not running in the June 2 provincial elections. (Canadian Press)
Doug Ford is campaigning for the brand masters after the turbulent first term, …
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