By Adelle Loiselle, May 27, 2022, 10:30 p.m.
In the last week of the Ontario election campaign, a new poll shows voters will wake up Friday morning with a government very similar to what they had.
According to a poll by Angus Reed on Friday, voters in Ontario are not enthusiastic about all provincial party leaders. Two-thirds said they did not like Progressive Conservative leader Doug Ford, although a poll by 338 Canada on Thursday appears to show that most voters will still hold their noses and vote for him.
Progressive Conservative leader Doug Ford speaks in London, May 21, 2022 (Photo courtesy of Ontario PC Party)
Voters also don’t seem to like Ontario NDP leader Andrea Horvat or Ontario Liberal Party leader Stephen Del Duca. Only 22 percent find Del Duca attractive, while a third have a positive impression of Croatia. Another 30 percent liked Ontario Green Party leader Mike Schreiner.
Pressed to make a choice, 35 percent said Ford was their best choice for the Premier. Horvat had a faith of just 21 percent, while Del Duca and Ontario Green Party leader Mike Schreiner were tied at 12 percent.
One in five was unsure who would perform best.
338 Canada envisions a progressive conservative majority next Thursday. It said there was almost no chance that the NDP or the Liberals would form the next government in Queens Park, but that there was an 85% chance that Ford would remain prime minister.
Woman wearing face mask with shopping cart in front of supermarket (© Can Stock Photo / malajski)
Why? Given affordability and inflation, which are emerging as the main problems in the campaign, three out of ten believe that Ford is the most qualified to address these concerns. Those who said Horvat were tied to those who were unsure. What was clear was that voters did not trust Del Duca on the issue. Only 14 percent believe it will make life more accessible to Ontario residents.
Of the 14 rides covered by NewsToday.ca, all but two are expected to stick to their representation in the last government.
These two are Essex and London’s North Center, where there is no guarantee that the NDP will keep its seats. 338 Canada suggests that Essex is leaning toward the Progressive Conservative candidate and acknowledges that this is a throw-in at London-North-Center.
Audrey Festeriga (Photo Submitted)
The figures came on the same day that Liberal nominee Andrei Festeriga dropped out of the Chatham-Kent-Leamington race over allegations that her campaign had recycled signatures from another Liberal to secure her nomination. It is difficult to say whether its release will have any impact, but 338 Canada said driving is safe for progressive conservatives despite the change in representation. Incumbent President Rick Nichols is running for Ontario this time, and Trevor Jones was nominated when he left the party.
Also safe, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex. Minister of Labor, Training and Skills Development Monte McNaughton is expected to win the seat easily for progressive conservatives.
Elgin-Middlesex-London and Lambton-Kent-Middlesex are considered safe for the party, along with Oxford, Sarnia-Lambton, Bruce-Gray-Owen Sound, Huron-Bruce and Perth-Wellington.
The new Democrats are expected to retain their seat in the London Fanshaw, although driving is considered “likely” rather than “safe” and London West is leaning towards the NDP.
338 Canada speculates that voters are likely to choose Gemma Gray Hall with the NDP in Windsor-Tecumseh and return incumbent President Lisa Gretsky to Windsor West.
Election day is June 2.
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