Republican Governor-designate Republican Lee Zeldin faces a tough battle in his “long shootout” for New York’s top position, but political experts say he has a chance if he focuses on specific areas and pressing issues such as crime and inflation.
“Congressman Zeldin and Governor Hochul are now in a narrative war, and whoever wins it will win the election,” political consultant Bill O’Reilly told The Post.
“For Zeldin, this race is about inflation, taxes and crime. For Hochul we are talking about abortion, weapons and January 6. That’s all we’re going to hear from the candidates for the next four months, “O’Reilly, who backed former Westchester County executive Rob Astorino in the primary election for Republican governor, added.
Incumbent Gov. Katie Hochul, 63, is actively campaigning for her response to recent US Supreme Court rulings overturning Rowe’s remarkable abortion decision against Wade and New York State’s age-old law restricting the carrying of concealed weapons.
Against the backdrop of rising crime and inflation in New York, Representative Lee Zeldin could win the votes of people who want to see change. Denis A. Clark
Recent polls show that a majority of New Yorkers support access to abortion and gun control, but this is uncertain amid rising crime and rising inflation.
“If that was the winning formula, Terry McAuliff would be the governor of Virginia right now,” said New York State National Party Chairman Nick Languerty, referring to Republican Glenn Youngkin’s 2021 victory in a state that tilted to the left. elections.
Violent crime – which includes murder, rape, robbery and crime – has increased by more than 25% so far this year compared to 2021, according to the NYPD.
Representative Zeldin is running against incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul, a Democrat from Buffalo, New York. Pacific Press / LightRocket via Ge
Such hot-key talks could win enough independents and even some Democrats seeking the state to make a change, Languarty said.
“We need to get disgruntled cross-voices, and that happens when you have a similar situation. It’s a lot like 1994, “he said, referring to the stunning victory of former Republican Gov. George Pataki over three terms as Gov. Mario Cuomo.
But Zeldin’s kryptonite will be his conservative record in Washington, experts say.
Representative Zeldin speculated that he would loosen state gun laws amid a 25% increase in violent crime (NYPD). Denis A. Clark
Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by approximately two to one in Empire State – where independents also outnumber Republicans. The Republican Party has not won a nationwide election in two decades.
“The icing on the cake is Trump,” Democratic President Jacobs said Wednesday.
The 42-year-old congressman from Long Island – who voted against the adoption of the 2020 presidential results by two states – is an outspoken supporter of the former president, who remains unpopular in his home state.
He also made conflicting remarks, suggesting he would loosen state gun laws and appoint a health commissioner for life if elected.
Governor Hochul focused on access to abortion, gun control and the Capitol riot on January 6 in his campaign, said Rob Astorino. Pacific Press / LightRocket via Ge
“We will be able to show a stark contrast between New York’s values and what Lee Zeldin did in Congress, whether it’s his support for the rebels, whether it’s his [approach] for women’s rights, whether it’s his support for more weapons than for fewer weapons, “Hochul told reporters Wednesday night.
So to win, Zeldin will need a larger margin in the New York suburbs of Long Island, as well as in Westchester County, experts say.
Overall in the Big Apple, the gubernatorial candidate will need about a third of the vote in the five districts to defeat Hochul, a Buffalo native who succeeded the disgraced former governor. Andrew Cuomo last August.
“Although he is far away, he has not been fired,” Larry Levy, executive dean of the National Center for Suburban Studies at Hofstra University, told The Post.
“But the task is to do what would be the disorder of this new century [in state politics] it is undoubtedly discouraging, “he added.
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